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2021年10月 6日 (水)

MLB AL MVP Shohei Ohtani, Odds: -10,000

Mvp-odds
  • Oct. 3: With the regular season over, Ohtani’s stats put him in a class above and his odds shortened to a crazy -10000.
                レギュラーシーズンが終わり,大谷の統計は彼を上のクラスに入れ,彼のオッズはクレイジーな -10000に短縮された。
  • Sep. 26: Guerrero shortened to +725, but Ohtani is still at -3000 with only a handful of games to go.
  • Sep. 20: Guerrero closed the massive chasm of gap between himself and Ohtani a little more. He’s now at +750 while Ohtani faded to -3000.
  • Sep. 16: Ohtani’s odds got longer for the first time since mid-July. That said, they only went from -6000 to -5250. Guerrero improved from +1550 to +1050 as his Jays make a playoff push.
  • Sep. 12: Despite Guerrero’s Blue Jays sweeping the Yankees in a four-game series in NY, his odds (+1550) did not improve.
  • Sep. 6: Ohtani’s latest odds, -6000, correspond to a 98.36% implied probability.
  • Aug. 30: Guerrero’s odds (+1450) are fading just like his Blue Jays.
  • Aug. 22: There’s not much to say anymore. Ohtani FTW.
  • Aug. 16: Ohtani (-1050) keeps raking while Guerrero’s Jays are fading out of the playoff picture. His MVP odds faded to +700.
  • Aug. 11: No change at the top. Ohtani (-750) continues to sit miles ahead of Guerrero Jr (+600).
  • Aug. 8: The air of inevitability around Ohtani continues to grow. His odds shortened to -750 while second-favorite Guerrero Jr faded from +500 to +600.
  • Aug. 2: This has become the most-lopsided race in the majors with Ohtani now at -700 and second-favorite Guerrero fading to +500.
  • July 28: Ohtani is at a season-best -365 with Guerrero Jr falling back to +283. Matt Olson and Rafael Devers are now co-third-favorites, but still a distant +4000.
  • July 19: Ohtani had a quiet week and faded from -313 to -283 (still a heavy favorite). Guerrero improved from +230 to +205.
  • July 13: Guerrero ( +230) fell further back of favorite Ohtani, who improved significantly to -313. Third-favorite Bogaerts continues to reside at a dista0nt +4000.
  • July 5: Ohtani is back to being the favorite at -173. He was the first to reach the 30-homer plateau and is showing no signs of ill health.
  • June 28: Guerrero’s lead over Ohtani is almost nil at this point; they are at +100 and +102, respectively.
  • June 21: Guerrero (+105) and Ohtani (+150) have put more distance between themselves and the second-tier contenders. Third-favorite Bogaerts faded from +2000 to +2400.
  • June 14: Guerrero is the outright favorite for the first time this season ( +128) Ohtani fell from +125 to +158. Third-favorite Bogaerts is way back at +2000.
  • June 7: Guerrero is nearly level with Ohtani after another big week, improving to +228 while Ohtani remained at +125.
  • May 25: Vlad Guerrero Jr improved from +775 to +425, closing the gap on Ohtani, who stayed at +138.
  • May 19: Mike Trout’s calf injury, which will sideline him for nearly two months, has led to his odds fading from +200 to +1050. Ohtani is now at +133, shorter than Trout has been all season.
  • May 5: The top-four favorites all got shorter: Trout (+205 to +200) Ohtani (+1067 to +867), Buxton (+1567 to +983), and Guerrero (+1933 to +1167). Most of the other top-15 faded, in turn.
  • Apr. 27: Byron Buxton is now tied for third-favorite at +1500 with perennial contender Alex Bregman.
  • Apr. 20: Ohtani consolidated his grip on second, improving from +1167 to +1033.
  • Apr. 12:  Trout faded from +210 to +218. Ohtani improved even further: +1450 to +1167.
  • Apr. 6: Shohei Ohtani has started hot on the mound and at the plate, in turn becoming a top-five AL MVP favorite at  +1450. He was +2350 on Opening Day.
  • Mar. 25: Mike Trout’s odds faded from +200 to +223 a week from opening day. But none of this main competitors improved significantly.
  • Feb. 12: Just as he has for each of the last six seasons, Mike Trout (LAA) is the chalk in the AL, and it’s not close. At +200, Trout has a 33.33% implied probability. Next on the list is Alex Bregman at +1000 (9.1%)

SBD(Sports Betting Dime)の大谷翔平のOddsは -10,000。
すなわち,$100 手に入れるのに $10,000 の掛け金が必要ということ?
賭けの対象にならない。

2021 MLB MVP Odds Tracker” より。

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